The Psychological Cognition for Divided Government and Voting Behavior: Lessons of Taipei and Kaohsiung Mayoral and City Councilor Elections of 2002
Author: Chung-li Wu, Ying-hao Hsu, Shih-hug Lee
Abstract / Chinese PDF Download
The phenomenon of divided government seemingly has become the institutional norm at the various levels of governments in Taiwan. On this trend, scholars pay much attention to the issues of divided government gradually. This work aims at examining the causes of divided government. To put it in detail, we examine the contending perspectives: the voters prefer the system of checks and balances by divided partisan control of the executive and legislative branches, and intentionally votes for mayoral and city councilor candidates of different political parties; or, the electoral choice may have little to do with public preferences for divided or unified government but is heavily influenced by other determinants. In this study, we take advantage of the Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, 2002 (TEDS 2002) survey data of the general preference for divided government and examine if vote choice is on the basis of strategic considerations in the Taipei and Kaohsiung mayoral and city councilor elections of 2002. The empirical results indicate that though the general preference for divided government has not effect upon on the split-ticket voting, considering the interactive variable of the general preference for divided government and party identification, we find that the voters who prefer the divided government tend to split-ticket voting. On the contrary, the voters who prefer the unified government tend to straight-ticket voting. In particular, there is a notable difference between the voters who identify with “pan-green” alliance. In the conclusion, we review the major findings and limitations of this study.