國立臺灣大學政治科學論叢

Abstract / Chinese PDF Download

March 18, 2000 is an important date in the history of political development of  Taiwan.  It  is  for  the  first  time  the  DPP  access  to  the  power  of  central government. The KMT become the opposition party. The new government would imply change of Taiwan foreign policy. It is our interest to analyze the impact of political alternance on the evolution of Taiwan foreign policy. This paper is divided into three parts: The first part is to present the major content  of  new  government  foreign  policy.  The  second  part  is  to  analyze  the constraint factors that would exert influence on the new government policy. The external factors and internal factors are our principal analytical subjects. The last part is to prospect on the development of new government foreign policy. From  the  above  studies,  we  can  get  several  findings:  (1)  Taiwan  political alternance does not imply a dramatical change of its foreign policy which shows relatively  stable;  (2)  The  new  government  returns  to  the  ex-president  Chiang Ching-Kuo’s   “substantial   diplomacy”   and   abandons   the   ex-president   Lee Teng-Hui’s “pragmatical diplomacy”; (3) Washington will increase its influence on Taiwan foreign policy and Taipei will lose more and more its autonomy on the decision-making   of   foreign   policy;   (4)   The   effectiveness   of   “democratic diplomacy”  and  “ecological  diplomacy”  will  be  limited  and  the  “economic  and trade  diplomacy”,  “humanitarian  diplomacy”  and  “aid  diplomacy”  will  get positive  results;  (5)  The  diplomatical  immobilism  will  imply  the  dis-satisfaction of  certain  categories  of  people.  All  these  tendencies  are  the  consequence  of interaction between internal and external constraint factors.