« Taiwan Journal of Political Science No.35Publish: 2008/03

Analysis of Putin’s Energy Policy in Russia

Author: Chun-Kuang Wu

Abstract / Chinese PDF Download

Russia  has  already  become  a  global  energy  giant.  Domestically,  the  Russianenergy  industry  is  a  stable  primary  factor  in  the  economic  growth  of  the  country,both  promoting  and  restricting  it.  Internationally,  Russia  is  the  world’s  secondlargest crude oil supplier and largest supplier of natural gas. Thus understanding theenergy security strategy of Russia is an important subject for research. This paperuses  public  policy  analysis  as  the  method  by  which  to  study  the  Russian  energyindustry.  It  analyzes  the  problems  and  development  of  the  energy  market  and  theindustry’s  structure.  It  discusses  which  kind  of  policy  Russia  adopts  to  solve  itsenergy   industry   crisis   and   strengthen   its   national   power   causing,   therebymaximizing  national  interests.  This  paper  firstly  analyses  the  energy  industry  ofRussia,  including  a  historical  development  overview,  the  current  situation  ofindustrial structure and worldwide positioning. This paper then goes on to analysethe  overall  arrangement  of  Russian  energy  strategy.  This  includes  the  importantstrategies  of  nationalization  of  energy  resources,  petroleum  and  natural  gastransportation,  crude  oil  pipelines,  petroleum  and  natural  gas  export  policy,  theestablishment of energy trading and the setting up of the storage system of crude oilin terms of one’s power and energy investment. The Granger Causality test is usedto  examine  causality  between  crude  oil  prices  and  per  capita  Gross  DomesticProduction. Impulse Respond Function is also used to judge the impact of changingcrude oil price to per capita Gross Domestic Production. We found that an increasein the output of crude oil did not Granger Cause economic growth and the impulseresponse to development in economy was slight. However, the increase in crude oilprices  was  shown  to  be  a  significant  influence  and  positive  impulse  response  onpredicted economic growth.

Keywords:Dutch Disease、Energy Strategy、Fuel Energy Industry、Industrial Structure